Wednesday 11 November 2026 15 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WDDLD
1–0
FT
Macara 35%Draw 27%LDU de Quito 37% Expected goals 1.18 – 1.02
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.05 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✗37% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.75

Macara vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 July the Liga Pro brings Macara against LDU de Quito at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca Juniors, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

LDU de Quito, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Macara.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 0–2 Macara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.2 xG, LDU de Quito 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 35%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara35%fair 2.82 · @3.05
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.20
LDU de Quito37%fair 2.69 · @2.34
2.19Expected goals
1.18Macara xG
1.02LDU de Quito xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Macara 1.2 – 1.0 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✗37%2.692.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.381.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.90 ▲
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapLDU de Quito +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✓22%4.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.75–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WDDLDW
5 Jun@ Deportivo Cuenca Juniors1–0W
1 Jun@ Leones del Norte1–1D
29 May@ America de Cali0–0D
24 May@ Emelec0–2L
22 Mayvs Alianza Atletico0–0D
11 May@ Manta FC1–0W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

WWDWWL
1 Julvs Orense SC3–0W
26 Mayvs Always Ready3–2W
24 May@ Deportivo Cuenca1–1D
21 Mayvs Lanus2–0W
12 May@ Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
7 May@ Mirassol0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026LDU de Quito v Macara0–2
Macara vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Macara vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Macara have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and LDU de Quito 37%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Macara vs LDU de Quito?

Macara vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.