Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad Catolica welcome Mushuc Runa SC to Olimpico Atahualpa for a Liga Pro fixture on Monday 6 July (22:30 WAT). In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Emelec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gualaceo SC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Universidad Catolica, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Mushuc Runa SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 2.0 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 62%, draw 21%, Mushuc Runa SC 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.10
Mushuc Runa SC17%fair 5.92 · @5.80
2.86Expected goals
1.96Universidad Catolica xG
0.90Mushuc Runa SC xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 2.0 – 0.9 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Universidad Catolica -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Universidad Catolica ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Universidad Catolica – last 6
LWLLLW
1 Jun
@ Emelec
0–1
L
29 May
@ El Nacional
4–1
W
13 May
vs Independiente del Valle
0–3
L
1 May
vs Independiente del Valle
2–3
L
27 Apr
@ Manta FC
0–1
L
24 Apr
vs Macara
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC – last 6
LDLLLD
3 Jun
@ Gualaceo SC
0–1
L
31 May
vs Aucas
0–0
D
17 May
@ Leones del Norte
1–3
L
12 May
vs LDU de Quito
1–3
L
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mushuc Runa SC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Universidad Catolica vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 6 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
