Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗36% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.00
Emelec vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Emelec welcome Barcelona SC to Estadio George Capwell for a Liga Pro fixture on Monday 13 July (00:10 WAT). In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Delfin SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Barcelona SC, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.0 xG, Barcelona SC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 35%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 0–1 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec35%fair 2.84 · @2.58
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.98
Barcelona SC36%fair 2.81 · @2.88
2.05Expected goals
1.00Emelec xG
1.06Barcelona SC xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.0 – 1.1 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona SC to win✗
36%
2.81
2.88
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Draw no bet
Barcelona SC (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Barcelona SC to score first✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.00
–
Recent results
Emelec – last 6
DWWDLW
5 Jul
@ Delfin SC
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
24 May
vs Macara
2–0
W
18 May
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Leones del Norte
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs LDU de Quito
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Barcelona SC – last 6
WLLWLW
5 Jul
vs Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
2 Jun
@ Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
29 May
@ Cruzeiro
0–4
L
25 May
@ Delfin SC
2–1
W
22 May
@ U. Catolica
0–2
L
17 May
vs Aucas
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emelec and Barcelona SC.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Barcelona SC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 0–1 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Barcelona SC?
Emelec vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
