Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✓53% · @2.00
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.35
Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 14 July the Liga Pro brings Macara against Mushuc Runa SC at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tecnico Universitario, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Mushuc Runa SC.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.7 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 53%, draw 24%, Mushuc Runa SC 23%.
Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Macara or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara53%fair 1.87 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.30
Mushuc Runa SC23%fair 4.37 · @3.70
2.60Expected goals
1.73Macara xG
0.86Mushuc Runa SC xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Macara 1.7 – 0.9 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Macara or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Macara have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mushuc Runa SC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Macara vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
