Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Emelec to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrense SC to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Orense SC vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 17 July the Liga Pro brings Orense SC against Emelec at Estadio 9 de Mayo. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Orense SC are 13th on 39 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45.
Current form
Orense SC, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Manta FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Emelec, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barcelona SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orense SC 1.2 xG, Emelec 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orense SC 41%, draw 27%, Emelec 32%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Emelec to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orense SC 1–1 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orense SC41%fair 2.45 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.15
Emelec32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
2.29Expected goals
1.24Orense SC xG
1.06Emelec xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Orense SC 1.2 – 1.1 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orense SC to win✗
41%
2.45
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Orense SC (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Orense SC to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orense SC / FT Orense SC✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Orense SC – last 6
DLLLWW
11 Jul
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
7 Jul
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
1 Jul
@ LDU de Quito
0–3
L
27 May
@ Cuniburo
1–2
L
19 May
@ Guayaquil City FC
1–0
W
9 May
vs Leones del Norte
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 6
DDWWDL
13 Jul
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Delfin SC
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
24 May
vs Macara
2–0
W
18 May
@ Manta FC
0–0
D
3 May
@ Leones del Norte
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orense SC and Emelec.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orense SC vs Emelec?
On our numbers Orense SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Emelec 32%.
How many goals will there be in Orense SC vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orense SC vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Orense SC 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orense SC vs Emelec?
Orense SC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Mayo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
