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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Mushuc Runa SC v Orense SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
2–1
FT
Mushuc Runa SC 45%Draw 25%Orense SC 29% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.21
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: Orense SC to win @ 3.65 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMushuc Runa SC to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.06

Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orense SC travel to face Mushuc Runa SC on Monday 20 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Bellavista the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39.

Current form

Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Orense SC, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Emelec, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Orense SC 3–2 Mushuc Runa SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.5 xG, Orense SC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 45%, draw 25%, Orense SC 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Orense SC to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mushuc Runa SC45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.35
Orense SC29%fair 3.42 · @3.65
2.70Expected goals
1.49Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.21Orense SC xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.5 – 1.2 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMushuc Runa SC to win ✓45%2.212.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.77
Draw no betMushuc Runa SC (draw no bet) ✓61%1.65–
Asian handicapOrense SC +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.09
First team to scoreMushuc Runa SC to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mushuc Runa SC / FT Mushuc Runa SC ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.06–

Recent results

Mushuc Runa SC – last 6

LLWLDL
14 Jul@ Macara1–2L
11 Julvs Independiente del Valle1–4L
6 Jul@ Universidad Catolica3–2W
3 Jun@ Gualaceo SC0–1L
31 Mayvs Aucas0–0D
17 May@ Leones del Norte1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Orense SC – last 6

LDLLLW
17 Julvs Emelec0–2L
11 Jul@ Manta FC0–0D
7 Julvs Tecnico Universitario1–2L
1 Jul@ LDU de Quito0–3L
27 May@ Cuniburo1–2L
19 May@ Guayaquil City FC1–0W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Orense SC v Mushuc Runa SC3–2
Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orense SC 29%.

How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC?

Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.