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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tecnico Universitario v Aucas: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista
0–1
FT

Aucas

LWWDW
Tecnico Universitario 31%Draw 27%Aucas 42% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.24
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✓42% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.20

Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tecnico Universitario welcome Aucas to Estadio Bellavista for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 19 July (17:45 WAT). In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Tecnico Universitario, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Libertad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Aucas, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Tecnico Universitario.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Mar 2026) it ended Aucas 0–1 Tecnico Universitario.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 1.0 xG, Aucas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 31%, draw 27%, Aucas 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tecnico Universitario31%fair 3.20 · @3.15
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.15
Aucas42%fair 2.41 · @2.28
2.28Expected goals
1.04Tecnico Universitario xG
1.24Aucas xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.0 – 1.2 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✓42%2.412.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.931.90
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapTecnico Universitario +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreAucas to score first ✓49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.20–

Recent results

Tecnico Universitario – last 6

LLWWLW
15 Jul@ Libertad0–1L
11 Julvs Macara0–2L
7 Jul@ Orense SC2–1W
2 Junvs Barcelona SC1–0W
29 May@ Cde Juventud Italiana0–2L
24 Mayvs Leones del Norte2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aucas – last 6

LWWDWW
16 Julvs Independiente del Valle0–3L
12 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
8 Julvs Guayaquil City FC1–0W
31 May@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
26 Mayvs Manta FC3–1W
21 May@ San Antonio3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Mar 2026Aucas v Tecnico Universitario0–1
Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aucas 42%.

How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.