Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEmelec to win ✗52% · @1.80
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mushuc Runa SC travel to face Emelec on Friday 24 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio George Capwell the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Emelec, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Independiente del Valle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Orense SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Emelec, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Mushuc Runa SC.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Mar 2026) it ended Mushuc Runa SC 2–0 Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.5 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 52%, draw 26%, Mushuc Runa SC 21%.
Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Emelec52%fair 1.91 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.45
Mushuc Runa SC21%fair 4.71 · @4.40
2.42Expected goals
1.47Emelec xG
0.95Mushuc Runa SC xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Emelec 1.5 – 1.0 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Emelec have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mushuc Runa SC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Emelec vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
