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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Cuenca v Emelec: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Alejandro Serrano Aguilar
2–1
FT

Emelec

DLWDD
Deportivo Cuenca 39%Draw 29%Emelec 32% Expected goals 1.09 – 0.94
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.63

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 28 July the Liga Pro brings Deportivo Cuenca against Emelec at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Macara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Emelec, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mushuc Runa SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Emelec, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Emelec 0–2 Deportivo Cuenca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 xG, Emelec 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 39%, draw 29%, Emelec 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cuenca39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @3.10
Emelec32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.03Expected goals
1.09Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.94Emelec xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.1 – 0.9 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓39%2.572.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.00
Draw no betDeportivo Cuenca (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapEmelec +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.211.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.05
First team to scoreDeportivo Cuenca to score first ✓47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca ✓22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7%13.63–

Recent results

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

LLDLLW
22 Jul@ Macara0–3L
18 Julvs Universidad Catolica0–2L
15 Jul@ Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Julvs Aucas0–1L
5 Jul@ Barcelona SC0–2L
31 Mayvs Delfin SC1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Emelec – last 6

DLWDDW
24 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
20 Jul@ Independiente del Valle1–6L
17 Jul@ Orense SC2–0W
13 Julvs Barcelona SC0–0D
5 Jul@ Delfin SC1–1D
1 Junvs Universidad Catolica1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Emelec v Deportivo Cuenca0–2
Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Emelec 32%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec?

Deportivo Cuenca vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.