Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mushuc Runa SC welcome Libertad to Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa for a Liga Pro fixture on Monday 27 July (20:00 WAT). In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51.
Current form
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Emelec, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Libertad, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Delfin SC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Libertad 2–2 Mushuc Runa SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.4 xG, Libertad 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 50%, draw 24%, Libertad 27%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC50%fair 2.02 · @1.63
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.90
Libertad27%fair 3.77 · @5.00
2.59Expected goals
1.38Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.21Libertad xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.4 – 1.2 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Libertad 27%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?
Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
