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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barcelona SC v Macara: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
1–2
FT

Macara

WDWWL
Barcelona SC 49%Draw 27%Macara 24% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona SC to win ✗49% · @1.62
Double chanceBarcelona SC or draw ✗76% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26

Barcelona SC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Barcelona SC welcome Macara to Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 9 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, Barcelona SC are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Barcelona SC, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over LDU Portoviejo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Macara, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Guayaquil City FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Barcelona SC.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Apr 2026) it ended Macara 3–1 Barcelona SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 1.2 xG, Macara 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 49%, draw 27%, Macara 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barcelona SC or draw (76%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona SC49%fair 2.05 · @1.62
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.70
Macara24%fair 4.08 · @5.50
2.27Expected goals
1.24Barcelona SC xG
1.03Macara xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Barcelona SC 1.2 – 1.0 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona SC to win ✗49%2.051.62
Double chanceBarcelona SC or draw ✗76%1.321.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.93 ▲
Draw no betBarcelona SC (draw no bet) ✗67%1.50–
Asian handicapMacara +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.771.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.09
First team to scoreBarcelona SC to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona SC / FT Barcelona SC ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.26–

Recent results

Barcelona SC – last 6

WDLLWD
6 Aug@ LDU Portoviejo1–0W
3 Aug@ Leones del Norte1–1D
27 Julvs LDU de Quito0–1L
22 Jul@ Universidad Catolica1–2L
19 Julvs Libertad1–0W
16 Julvs Guayaquil City FC1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Macara – last 6

WDWWLW
2 Augvs Guayaquil City FC2–1W
29 Jul@ Gualaceo SC1–1D
26 Jul@ Aucas4–1W
22 Julvs Deportivo Cuenca3–0W
18 Jul@ Delfin SC1–2L
14 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Apr 2026Macara v Barcelona SC3–1
Barcelona SC vs Macara head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Macara?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Barcelona SC vs Macara?

On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Macara 24%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Macara?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Macara?

Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Barcelona SC vs Macara?

Barcelona SC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.