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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v LDU de Quito: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas

DWWLL
0–1
FT
Aucas 38%Draw 23%LDU de Quito 39% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.11
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓39% · @2.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.16

Aucas vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aucas welcome LDU de Quito to Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda for a Liga Pro fixture on Monday 17 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Aucas, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with La Unión, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

LDU de Quito, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mirassol, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended LDU de Quito 0–0 Aucas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.1 xG, LDU de Quito 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 38%, draw 23%, LDU de Quito 39%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas38%fair 2.64 · @2.74
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
LDU de Quito39%fair 2.56 · @2.56
2.21Expected goals
1.09Aucas xG
1.11LDU de Quito xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aucas 1.1 – 1.1 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✓39%2.562.56
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.981.83
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet) ✓51%1.97–
Asian handicapAucas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first ✓45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✓20%4.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12%8.16–

Recent results

Aucas – last 6

DWWLLW
12 Aug@ La Unión1–1D
8 Augvs Leones del Norte3–0W
2 Aug@ Emelec2–0W
26 Julvs Macara1–4L
23 Jul@ Orense SC1–2L
19 Jul@ Tecnico Universitario1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

LDU de Quito – last 6

DLWWWD
13 Aug@ Mirassol1–1D
8 Augvs Independiente del Valle0–2L
4 Augvs Delfin SC2–1W
30 Julvs Leones del Norte6–0W
27 Jul@ Barcelona SC1–0W
23 Jul@ Manta FC1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026LDU de Quito v Aucas0–0
Aucas vs LDU de Quito head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

On our numbers Aucas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LDU de Quito 39%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs LDU de Quito?

Aucas vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.