Value bet: Macara to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Macara vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the Liga Pro brings Macara against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santos, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Universidad Catolica, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 4–0 Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.0 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 29%, draw 22%, Universidad Catolica 48%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara29%fair 3.42 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.35
Universidad Catolica48%fair 2.07 · @1.96
2.44Expected goals
1.02Macara xG
1.42Universidad Catolica xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Macara 1.0 – 1.4 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
48%
2.07
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Macara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
What is the prediction for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
On our numbers Macara have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad Catolica 48%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Universidad Catolica?
Macara vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
