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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LDU de Quito v Emelec: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
2–0
FT

Emelec

WDLLD
LDU de Quito 65%Draw 23%Emelec 12% Expected goals 1.45 – 0.43
65%
Betarazi pick

LDU de Quito to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.51

LDU de Quito vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 24 August the Liga Pro brings LDU de Quito against Emelec at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, LDU de Quito are 4th on 54 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45.

Current form

LDU de Quito, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mirassol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Emelec, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tecnico Universitario, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours LDU de Quito, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Emelec.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Emelec 1–0 LDU de Quito.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LDU de Quito 1.5 xG, Emelec 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LDU de Quito 65%, draw 23%, Emelec 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was LDU de Quito to win (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: LDU de Quito 1–0 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LDU de Quito65%fair 1.55 · @1.55
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Emelec12%fair 8.09 · @5.00
1.88Expected goals
1.45LDU de Quito xG
0.43Emelec xG
45%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: LDU de Quito 1.5 – 0.4 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLDU de Quito to win ✓65%1.551.55
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.821.75
Draw no betLDU de Quito (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapLDU de Quito -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreLDU de Quito to score first ✓66%1.53–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito ✓38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22%4.51–

Recent results

LDU de Quito – last 6

DWDLWW
20 Augvs Mirassol0–0D
17 Aug@ Aucas1–0W
13 Aug@ Mirassol1–1D
8 Augvs Independiente del Valle0–2L
4 Augvs Delfin SC2–1W
30 Julvs Leones del Norte6–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Emelec – last 6

WDLLDL
16 Augvs Tecnico Universitario2–1W
10 Aug@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
2 Augvs Aucas0–2L
28 Jul@ Deportivo Cuenca1–2L
24 Julvs Mushuc Runa SC1–1D
20 Jul@ Independiente del Valle1–6L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Emelec v LDU de Quito1–0
LDU de Quito vs Emelec head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LDU de Quito vs Emelec?

Our pick is LDU de Quito to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win LDU de Quito vs Emelec?

On our numbers LDU de Quito have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Emelec 12%.

How many goals will there be in LDU de Quito vs Emelec?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LDU de Quito vs Emelec?

Our predicted score is LDU de Quito 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is LDU de Quito vs Emelec?

LDU de Quito vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.