Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Libertad vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Macara travel to face Libertad on Tuesday 25 August in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Guayaquil City FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Macara, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Libertad, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.0 xG, Macara 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 30%, draw 23%, Macara 47%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 0–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad30%fair 3.33 · @3.25
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Macara47%fair 2.12 · @2.20
2.35Expected goals
1.00Libertad xG
1.35Macara xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.0 – 1.3 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
47%
2.12
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Libertad +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Macara to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Libertad – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Guayaquil City FC
2–2
D
10 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Orense SC
3–0
W
27 Jul
@ Mushuc Runa SC
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Barcelona SC
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
DDLWWD
20 Aug
vs Santos
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Santos
1–2
L
9 Aug
@ Barcelona SC
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–1
W
29 Jul
@ Gualaceo SC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Macara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Libertad vs Macara?
On our numbers Libertad have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Macara 47%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Macara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Libertad 0–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Macara?
Libertad vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
