Deportivo Cuenca 65%Draw 23%Guayaquil City FC 12%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.57
88%
Betarazi pick
Deportivo Cuenca or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Cuenca to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cuenca to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportivo Cuenca or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Cuenca welcome Guayaquil City FC to Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar for a Liga Pro fixture on Wednesday 2 September (22:30 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Cuenca are 11th on 47 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tecnico Universitario, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over LDU de Quito, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Deportivo Cuenca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cuenca 1.7 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cuenca 65%, draw 23%, Guayaquil City FC 12%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cuenca or draw (88%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Cuenca to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Cuenca or draw (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cuenca65%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Guayaquil City FC12%fair 8.28 · @4.50
2.26Expected goals
1.69Deportivo Cuenca xG
0.57Guayaquil City FC xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cuenca 1.7 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cuenca to win✓
65%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Cuenca or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cuenca (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Cuenca -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Deportivo Cuenca to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cuenca / FT Deportivo Cuenca✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cuenca – last 6
LDLLLW
29 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Orense SC
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Manta FC
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Independiente del Valle
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs Emelec
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WWDDLD
29 Aug
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Tecnico Universitario
3–2
W
15 Aug
vs Libertad
2–2
D
10 Aug
vs Emelec
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Macara
1–2
L
27 Jul
vs Universidad Catolica
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Deportivo Cuenca or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Deportivo Cuenca have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guayaquil City FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC?
Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
