Independiente del Valle 64%Draw 22%Macara 14%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.88
64%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Independiente del Valle vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Liga Pro brings Independiente del Valle against Macara at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Macara, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Manta FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Macara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.1 xG, Macara 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 64%, draw 22%, Macara 14%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle to win (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Macara14%fair 7.21 · @5.50
2.96Expected goals
2.08Independiente del Valle xG
0.88Macara xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.1 – 0.9 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 6
LDWWWW
3 Sep
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
2–2
D
26 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Leones del Norte
3–2
W
19 Aug
@ Deportes Tolima
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Delfin SC
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
WWLDDL
2 Sep
vs Manta FC
4–3
W
30 Aug
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Libertad
0–1
L
20 Aug
vs Santos
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ Santos
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Macara.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Macara 14%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Macara?
Independiente del Valle vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
