NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSV Eindhoven travel to face NEC Nijmegen on Tuesday 3 March in the KNVB Beker, with Goffertstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 1.5 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 66% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 23%, draw 18%, PSV Eindhoven 59%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEC Nijmegen23%fair 4.29 · @4.10
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @4.70
PSV Eindhoven59%fair 1.69 · @1.63
3.76Expected goals
1.45NEC Nijmegen xG
2.31PSV Eindhoven xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%
From our goals model: NEC Nijmegen 1.5 – 2.3 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✗
59%
1.69
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.35
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✗
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
NEC Nijmegen +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✗
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
NEC Nijmegen – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Sparta Rotterdam
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Volendam
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers NEC Nijmegen have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PSV Eindhoven 59%.
How many goals will there be in NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven (KNVB Beker) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Goffertstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
