Mokpo City 28%Draw 28%Changwon City 44%Expected goals 0.95 – 1.06
53%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.90 · bookmaker 1.91
4/10Rating
1.91Odds
1
Value bet: Mokpo City to win @ 3.90 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultChangwon City to win44% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.93
Mokpo City vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Changwon City travel to face Mokpo City on Saturday 14 March in the K3 League – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Mokpo City are 12th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mokpo City 0.9 xG, Changwon City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mokpo City 28%, draw 28%, Changwon City 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Mokpo City to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mokpo City 1–1 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mokpo City28%fair 3.57 · @3.90
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.90
Changwon City44%fair 2.26 · @1.85
2.01Expected goals
0.95Mokpo City xG
1.06Changwon City xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mokpo City 0.9 – 1.1 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win
44%
2.26
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.91
Draw no bet
Changwon City (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Mokpo City +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
13.93
–
Recent results
Mokpo City – last 1
D
8 Mar
vs Yangpyeong
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 1
W
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mokpo City and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Mokpo City have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Changwon City 44%.
How many goals will there be in Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Mokpo City 1–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mokpo City vs Changwon City?
Mokpo City vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
