Changwon City vs Busan Transportation: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Busan Transportation travel to face Changwon City on Saturday 11 April in the K3 League – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Busan Transportation are 4th (among the top four) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Changwon City, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Jeonbuk Motors II, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Busan Transportation, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yangpyeong, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.3 xG, Busan Transportation 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 46%, draw 26%, Busan Transportation 28%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Busan Transportation. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City46%fair 2.19 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.10
Busan Transportation28%fair 3.59 · @3.90
2.52Expected goals
1.31Changwon City xG
1.22Busan Transportation xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.3 – 1.2 Busan Transportation expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✗
46%
2.19
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Changwon City (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Busan Transportation +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 4
WLLW
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Busan Transportation – last 5
DLDWW
5 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
7 Mar
vs Pocheon
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Busan Transportation.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Busan Transportation 28%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Busan Transportation, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Busan Transportation?
Changwon City vs Busan Transportation (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
