Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
06:00 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Changwon City v Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Gyeongju HNP are 5th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Busan Transportation, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Gyeongju HNP, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Yangpyeong, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.3 xG, Gyeongju HNP 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 32%, draw 27%, Gyeongju HNP 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.78, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Gyeongju HNP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City32%fair 3.11 · @2.88
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.80
Gyeongju HNP41%fair 2.45 · @2.38
2.73Expected goals
1.25Changwon City xG
1.47Gyeongju HNP xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.3 – 1.5 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gyeongju HNP to win✗
41%
2.45
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Gyeongju HNP (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Changwon City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Gyeongju HNP to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 5
DWLLW
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
21 Mar
vs Yeoju Sejong
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Dangjin Citizen
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Gyeongju HNP – last 6
WLDLLW
11 Apr
vs Yangpyeong
4–0
W
4 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs Daejeon Korail
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pocheon
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Busan Transportation
2–3
L
7 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Gyeongju HNP.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gyeongju HNP 41%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP?
Changwon City vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
