Yangpyeong vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the K3 League brings Yangpyeong against Changwon City. Kick-off: 08:00 WAT. In the table, Yangpyeong are 13th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Yangpyeong, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pocheon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Changwon City, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Siheung Citizen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Changwon City, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Yangpyeong.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yangpyeong 1.4 xG, Changwon City 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yangpyeong 31%, draw 27%, Changwon City 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yangpyeong 1–1 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yangpyeong31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.80
Changwon City42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
2.92Expected goals
1.41Yangpyeong xG
1.51Changwon City xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Yangpyeong 1.4 – 1.5 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Changwon City (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Yangpyeong +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Yangpyeong – last 6
LLLLDD
2 May
@ Pocheon
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Siheung Citizen
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
11 Apr
@ Gyeongju HNP
0–4
L
5 Apr
@ Busan Transportation
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
2–2
D
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Changwon City – last 6
DLWDWL
2 May
vs Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Daejeon Korail
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Gyeongju HNP
3–2
W
11 Apr
vs Busan Transportation
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors II
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Chuncheon
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yangpyeong and Changwon City.
What is the prediction for Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Yangpyeong have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Changwon City 42%.
How many goals will there be in Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Yangpyeong 1–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Yangpyeong vs Changwon City?
Yangpyeong vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
