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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gyeongju HNP v Dangjin Citizen: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea · Gyeongju Civic Stadium
2–2
FT
Gyeongju HNP 54%Draw 24%Dangjin Citizen 22% Expected goals 1.87 – 1.38
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✗54% · @1.53
Double chanceGyeongju HNP or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68

Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gyeongju HNP welcome Dangjin Citizen to Gyeongju Civic Stadium for a K3 League fixture on Sunday 10 May (06:00 WAT). In the table, Gyeongju HNP are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Dangjin Citizen are 6th (upper half) with 38. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gyeongju HNP, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gangneung City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Dangjin Citizen, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Busan Transportation, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Dangjin Citizen, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Gyeongju HNP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gyeongju HNP 1.9 xG, Dangjin Citizen 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gyeongju HNP 54%, draw 24%, Dangjin Citizen 22%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gyeongju HNP 2–1 Dangjin Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gyeongju HNP54%fair 1.85 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.65
Dangjin Citizen22%fair 4.53 · @5.20
3.24Expected goals
1.87Gyeongju HNP xG
1.38Dangjin Citizen xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Gyeongju HNP 1.9 – 1.4 Dangjin Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGyeongju HNP to win ✗54%1.851.53
Double chanceGyeongju HNP or draw ✓78%1.281.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.78–
Draw no betGyeongju HNP (draw no bet)71%1.41–
Asian handicapDangjin Citizen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreGyeongju HNP to score first55%1.81–
Half-time resultGyeongju HNP ahead at half-time ✗38%2.66–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gyeongju HNP / FT Gyeongju HNP ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.68–

Recent results

Gyeongju HNP – last 6

LDLWLD
1 May@ Gangneung City0–2L
25 Aprvs Ulsan Citizen2–2D
19 Apr@ Changwon City2–3L
11 Aprvs Yangpyeong4–0W
4 Apr@ Siheung Citizen1–2L
28 Marvs Daejeon Korail1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dangjin Citizen – last 6

LWWDWL
2 May@ Busan Transportation1–2L
25 Apr@ Jeonbuk Motors II2–1W
19 Apr@ Chuncheon1–0W
11 Apr@ Yeoju Sejong2–2D
4 Apr@ Mokpo City3–1W
28 Mar@ Pocheon1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gyeongju HNP and Dangjin Citizen.

Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen?

On our numbers Gyeongju HNP have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dangjin Citizen 22%.

How many goals will there be in Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen?

Our predicted score is Gyeongju HNP 2–1 Dangjin Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen?

Gyeongju HNP vs Dangjin Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.