Changwon City vs Mokpo City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mokpo City travel to face Changwon City on Saturday 20 June in the K3 League – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Mokpo City are 12th (in the drop zone) with 26.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dangjin Citizen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mokpo City, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yangpyeong, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Changwon City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Mokpo City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.3 xG, Mokpo City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 50%, draw 28%, Mokpo City 22%.
Lower-risk option: Changwon City or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Mokpo City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City50%fair 1.98 · @1.75
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
Mokpo City22%fair 4.63 · @4.33
2.21Expected goals
1.32Changwon City xG
0.89Mokpo City xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–010%
2–19%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.3 – 0.9 Mokpo City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Changwon City to win✗
50%
1.98
1.75
Double chance
Changwon City or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Draw no bet
Changwon City (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Mokpo City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Changwon City to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Changwon City / FT Changwon City✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.73
–
Recent results
Changwon City – last 6
WWWDLD
6 Jun
@ Dangjin Citizen
2–1
W
30 May
@ Gangneung City
1–0
W
23 May
vs Ulsan Citizen
2–0
W
16 May
@ Pocheon
0–0
D
9 May
@ Yangpyeong
0–1
L
2 May
vs Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mokpo City – last 6
DDLLLD
7 Jun
vs Yangpyeong
0–0
D
31 May
@ Siheung Citizen
1–1
D
23 May
@ Daejeon Korail
0–3
L
17 May
vs Gyeongju HNP
0–1
L
9 May
@ Busan Transportation
0–3
L
2 May
vs Jeonbuk Motors II
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Changwon City and Mokpo City.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Mokpo City 22%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Mokpo City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Mokpo City?
Changwon City vs Mokpo City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
