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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Busan Transportation v Gyeongju HNP: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea · Busan Gudeok Stadium
Busan Transportation 42%Draw 24%Gyeongju HNP 34% Expected goals 1.62 – 1.36
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.90Odds
1

Value bet: Busan Transportation to win @ 2.55 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBusan Transportation to win ✗42% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04

Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 21 June: Busan Transportation v Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League, played at Busan Gudeok Stadium. In the table, Busan Transportation are 4th, among the top four, on 43 points after 26 matches; Gyeongju HNP are 5th (upper half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Busan Transportation, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pocheon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Gyeongju HNP, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jeonbuk Motors II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Busan Transportation, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Gyeongju HNP.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Gyeongju HNP 2–3 Busan Transportation.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Busan Transportation 1.6 xG, Gyeongju HNP 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Busan Transportation 42%, draw 24%, Gyeongju HNP 34%.
  • Price worth noting: Busan Transportation to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan Transportation 2–1 Gyeongju HNP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Busan Transportation42%fair 2.40 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Gyeongju HNP34%fair 2.91 · @2.40
2.98Expected goals
1.62Busan Transportation xG
1.36Gyeongju HNP xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.6 – 1.4 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBusan Transportation to win ✗42%2.402.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betBusan Transportation (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapGyeongju HNP +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreBusan Transportation to score first ✗52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.04–

Recent results

Busan Transportation – last 6

DWLDWW
6 Jun@ Pocheon1–1D
30 May@ Jeonbuk Motors II2–1W
23 Mayvs Chuncheon2–3L
16 May@ Yeoju Sejong1–1D
9 Mayvs Mokpo City3–0W
2 Mayvs Dangjin Citizen2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gyeongju HNP – last 6

DDDWDL
6 Jun@ Jeonbuk Motors II1–1D
30 May@ Chuncheon2–2D
23 Mayvs Yeoju Sejong0–0D
17 May@ Mokpo City1–0W
10 Mayvs Dangjin Citizen2–2D
1 May@ Gangneung City0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Gyeongju HNP v Busan Transportation2–3
Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gyeongju HNP 34%.

How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 2–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP?

Busan Transportation vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.