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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Changwon City v Yeoju Sejong: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
2–2
FT
Changwon City 47%Draw 28%Yeoju Sejong 24% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.00
76%
Betarazi pick

Changwon City or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChangwon City to win ✗47% · @1.85
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03

Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Changwon City welcome Yeoju Sejong for a K3 League fixture on Saturday 27 June (08:00 WAT). In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Yeoju Sejong are 10th (lower half) with 30. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Changwon City, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mokpo City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Yeoju Sejong, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Yangpyeong, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Changwon City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Yeoju Sejong.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Changwon City 0–1 Yeoju Sejong.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.3 xG, Yeoju Sejong 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 47%, draw 28%, Yeoju Sejong 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Changwon City or draw (76%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Changwon City or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–1 Yeoju Sejong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Changwon City47%fair 2.11 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.90
Yeoju Sejong24%fair 4.13 · @4.00
2.27Expected goals
1.27Changwon City xG
1.00Yeoju Sejong xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Changwon City 1.3 – 1.0 Yeoju Sejong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChangwon City to win ✗47%2.111.85
Double chanceChangwon City or draw ✓76%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.932.05 ▲
Draw no betChangwon City (draw no bet)66%1.51–
Asian handicapYeoju Sejong +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreChangwon City to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Changwon City / FT Changwon City ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.03–

Recent results

Changwon City – last 6

DWWWDL
20 Junvs Mokpo City1–1D
6 Jun@ Dangjin Citizen2–1W
30 May@ Gangneung City1–0W
23 Mayvs Ulsan Citizen2–0W
16 May@ Pocheon0–0D
9 May@ Yangpyeong0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Yeoju Sejong – last 6

WLWDDL
20 Jun@ Yangpyeong2–1W
7 Junvs Siheung Citizen0–1L
31 Mayvs Daejeon Korail1–0W
23 May@ Gyeongju HNP0–0D
16 Mayvs Busan Transportation1–1D
9 May@ Jeonbuk Motors II0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Changwon City v Yeoju Sejong0–1
Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

Our pick is Changwon City or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

On our numbers Changwon City have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Yeoju Sejong 24%.

How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–1 Yeoju Sejong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.