Busan Transportation vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the K3 League brings Busan Transportation against Changwon City at Busan Gudeok Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Busan Transportation are 4th, among the top four, on 43 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Busan Transportation, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jinju Citizen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Changwon City, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Jeonbuk Motors II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Busan Transportation, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Changwon City.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Changwon City 0–0 Busan Transportation.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Busan Transportation 1.2 xG, Changwon City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Busan Transportation 40%, draw 24%, Changwon City 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Busan Transportation 1–1 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Busan Transportation40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Changwon City35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
2.25Expected goals
1.17Busan Transportation xG
1.08Changwon City xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Busan Transportation 1.2 – 1.1 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Busan Transportation to win✓
40%
2.48
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Busan Transportation (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Changwon City +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Busan Transportation to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation✓
What is the prediction for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Busan Transportation have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Changwon City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Busan Transportation 1–1 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Busan Transportation vs Changwon City?
Busan Transportation vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Busan Gudeok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
