Gyeongju HNP 62%Draw 25%Changwon City 13%Expected goals 1.79 – 0.73
87%
Betarazi pick
Gyeongju HNP or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gyeongju HNP to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✓62% · @1.85
Double chanceGyeongju HNP or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.92
Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the K3 League brings Gyeongju HNP against Changwon City at Gyeongju Civic Stadium. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Gyeongju HNP are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30.
Current form
Gyeongju HNP, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gangneung City, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Changwon City, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Siheung Citizen, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gyeongju HNP, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Changwon City.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Changwon City 3–2 Gyeongju HNP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gyeongju HNP 1.8 xG, Changwon City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gyeongju HNP 62%, draw 25%, Changwon City 13%.
Lower-risk option: Gyeongju HNP or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Gyeongju HNP to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gyeongju HNP or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gyeongju HNP 1–0 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gyeongju HNP62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Changwon City13%fair 7.60 · @3.80
2.52Expected goals
1.79Gyeongju HNP xG
0.73Changwon City xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gyeongju HNP 1.8 – 0.7 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Gyeongju HNP or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Gyeongju HNP have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Changwon City 13%.
How many goals will there be in Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Gyeongju HNP 1–0 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City?
Gyeongju HNP vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Gyeongju Civic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
