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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulsan Citizen v Busan Transportation: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea · Ulsan Complex Stadium
Ulsan Citizen 31%Draw 23%Busan Transportation 45% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.36
54%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultBusan Transportation to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ulsan Citizen welcome Busan Transportation to Ulsan Complex Stadium for a K3 League fixture on Sunday 30 August (11:00 WAT). In the table, Ulsan Citizen are 9th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Busan Transportation are 4th (among the top four) with 43. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ulsan Citizen, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jeonbuk Motors II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Busan Transportation, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Changwon City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Busan Transportation, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Ulsan Citizen.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Busan Transportation 3–0 Ulsan Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulsan Citizen 1.1 xG, Busan Transportation 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulsan Citizen 31%, draw 23%, Busan Transportation 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Busan Transportation. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulsan Citizen31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Busan Transportation45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
2.42Expected goals
1.06Ulsan Citizen xG
1.36Busan Transportation xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Ulsan Citizen 1.1 – 1.4 Busan Transportation expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBusan Transportation to win ✗45%2.202.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.80
Draw no betBusan Transportation (draw no bet) ✗59%1.69–
Asian handicapUlsan Citizen +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBusan Transportation to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Busan Transportation / FT Busan Transportation ✗25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Ulsan Citizen – last 6

WLWLDW
23 Aug@ Jeonbuk Motors II1–0W
19 Augvs Gwangju FC0–1L
29 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–0W
26 Jul@ Chuncheon1–2L
15 Julvs Seoul E-Land FC2–2D
10 Julvs Yeoju Sejong1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Busan Transportation – last 6

WDWDWW
22 Augvs Changwon City4–3W
29 Julvs Jinju Citizen1–1D
26 Jul@ Yangpyeong4–2W
15 Julvs Suwon Bluewings1–1D
11 Jul@ Siheung Citizen2–0W
5 Julvs Gijang United2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Busan Transportation v Ulsan Citizen3–0
Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

On our numbers Ulsan Citizen have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Busan Transportation 45%.

How many goals will there be in Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Our predicted score is Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Busan Transportation, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.