Value bet: Ulsan Citizen to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGyeongju HNP to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.50
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Ulsan Citizen v Gyeongju HNP in the K3 League, played at Ulsan Complex Stadium. In the table, Ulsan Citizen are 9th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Gyeongju HNP are 5th (upper half) with 40.
Current form
Ulsan Citizen, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Busan Transportation, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Gyeongju HNP, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Yangpyeong, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Gyeongju HNP 2–2 Ulsan Citizen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulsan Citizen 1.1 xG, Gyeongju HNP 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulsan Citizen 33%, draw 23%, Gyeongju HNP 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Ulsan Citizen to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Gyeongju HNP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulsan Citizen33%fair 3.06 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Gyeongju HNP44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
2.49Expected goals
1.12Ulsan Citizen xG
1.37Gyeongju HNP xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ulsan Citizen 1.1 – 1.4 Gyeongju HNP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
On our numbers Ulsan Citizen have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gyeongju HNP 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Our predicted score is Ulsan Citizen 1–1 Gyeongju HNP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?
Ulsan Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Complex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
