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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Daejeon Korail v Ulsan Citizen: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
0–1
FT
Daejeon Korail 61%Draw 23%Ulsan Citizen 17% Expected goals 1.56 – 0.65
61%
Betarazi pick

Daejeon Korail to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultDaejeon Korail to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceDaejeon Korail or draw ✗83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84

Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Daejeon Korail welcome Ulsan Citizen for a K3 League fixture on Friday 11 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Daejeon Korail are 3rd, among the top four, on 45 points after 26 matches; Ulsan Citizen are 9th (lower half) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Daejeon Korail, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Changwon City, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ulsan Citizen, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gyeongju HNP, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Ulsan Citizen 0–1 Daejeon Korail.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Daejeon Korail 1.6 xG, Ulsan Citizen 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Daejeon Korail 61%, draw 23%, Ulsan Citizen 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Daejeon Korail or draw (83%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Daejeon Korail to win (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Daejeon Korail 1–0 Ulsan Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Daejeon Korail61%fair 1.65 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Ulsan Citizen17%fair 6.02 · @4.80
2.21Expected goals
1.56Daejeon Korail xG
0.65Ulsan Citizen xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Daejeon Korail 1.6 – 0.6 Ulsan Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Korail to win ✗61%1.651.65
Double chanceDaejeon Korail or draw ✗83%1.201.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.941.83
Draw no betDaejeon Korail (draw no bet) ✗78%1.27–
Asian handicapUlsan Citizen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreDaejeon Korail to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Korail / FT Daejeon Korail ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.84–

Recent results

Daejeon Korail – last 6

WWLDLL
5 Sep@ Changwon City1–0W
29 Augvs Yangpyeong2–1W
23 Aug@ Siheung Citizen0–2L
25 Jul@ Pocheon1–1D
11 Julvs Gyeongju HNP0–1L
4 Jul@ Pocheon0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ulsan Citizen – last 6

LWWLWL
5 Sepvs Gyeongju HNP1–2L
30 Augvs Busan Transportation2–1W
23 Aug@ Jeonbuk Motors II1–0W
19 Augvs Gwangju FC0–1L
29 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–0W
26 Jul@ Chuncheon1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 May 2026Ulsan Citizen v Daejeon Korail0–1
Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Our pick is Daejeon Korail to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

On our numbers Daejeon Korail have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ulsan Citizen 17%.

How many goals will there be in Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Our predicted score is Daejeon Korail 1–0 Ulsan Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen?

Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.