Siheung Citizen 61%Draw 23%Changwon City 16%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.67
61%
Betarazi pick
Siheung Citizen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSiheung Citizen to win ✓61% · @1.62
Double chanceSiheung Citizen or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Siheung Citizen v Changwon City in the K3 League. In the table, Siheung Citizen are 1st, leading the league, on 57 points after 26 matches; Changwon City are 11th (lower half) with 30. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Siheung Citizen, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yangpyeong, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Changwon City, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Daejeon Korail, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Siheung Citizen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Changwon City.
Head to head
When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Changwon City 1–1 Siheung Citizen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siheung Citizen 1.6 xG, Changwon City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siheung Citizen 61%, draw 23%, Changwon City 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Siheung Citizen to win (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siheung Citizen 1–0 Changwon City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siheung Citizen61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.25
Changwon City16%fair 6.15 · @5.00
2.29Expected goals
1.62Siheung Citizen xG
0.67Changwon City xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Siheung Citizen 1.6 – 0.7 Changwon City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
Our pick is Siheung Citizen to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
On our numbers Siheung Citizen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Changwon City 16%.
How many goals will there be in Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
Our predicted score is Siheung Citizen 1–0 Changwon City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City?
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon City (K3 League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
