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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Changwon City v Yangpyeong: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
2–1
FT
Changwon City 57%Draw 21%Yangpyeong 22% Expected goals 1.76 – 0.99
57%
Betarazi pick

Changwon City to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultChangwon City to win ✓57% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.20

Changwon City vs Yangpyeong: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the K3 League brings Changwon City against Yangpyeong. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Yangpyeong are 13th (in the drop zone) with 20.

Current form

Changwon City, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gyeongju HNP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Yangpyeong, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pocheon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Yangpyeong 1–0 Changwon City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.8 xG, Yangpyeong 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 57%, draw 21%, Yangpyeong 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Changwon City to win (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Changwon City57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.10
Yangpyeong22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.76Changwon City xG
0.99Yangpyeong xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Changwon City 1.8 – 1.0 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChangwon City to win ✓57%1.761.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.95 ▲
Draw no betChangwon City (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapYangpyeong +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreChangwon City to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Changwon City / FT Changwon City ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.20–

Recent results

Changwon City – last 6

LLLLDL
20 Sep@ Gyeongju HNP1–2L
13 Sep@ Siheung Citizen1–3L
5 Sepvs Daejeon Korail0–1L
22 Aug@ Busan Transportation3–4L
26 Julvs Jeonbuk Motors II1–1D
15 Julvs Gimhae City1–5L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yangpyeong – last 6

LLLDLL
13 Sepvs Pocheon0–2L
6 Sepvs Siheung Citizen1–3L
29 Aug@ Daejeon Korail1–2L
22 Augvs Gyeongju HNP3–3D
26 Julvs Busan Transportation2–4L
15 Jul@ Hwaseong3–4L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 May 2026Yangpyeong v Changwon City1–0
Changwon City vs Yangpyeong head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

More K3 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

Our pick is Changwon City to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

On our numbers Changwon City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yangpyeong 22%.

How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?

Changwon City vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.