Changwon City vs Yangpyeong: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the K3 League brings Changwon City against Yangpyeong. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT. In the table, Changwon City are 11th, lower half, on 30 points after 26 matches; Yangpyeong are 13th (in the drop zone) with 20.
Current form
Changwon City, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gyeongju HNP, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Yangpyeong, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pocheon, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 May 2026) it ended Yangpyeong 1–0 Changwon City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Changwon City 1.8 xG, Yangpyeong 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Changwon City 57%, draw 21%, Yangpyeong 22%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Changwon City to win (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Changwon City57%fair 1.76 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.10
Yangpyeong22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
2.75Expected goals
1.76Changwon City xG
0.99Yangpyeong xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Changwon City 1.8 – 1.0 Yangpyeong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Our pick is Changwon City to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
On our numbers Changwon City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yangpyeong 22%.
How many goals will there be in Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Our predicted score is Changwon City 1–0 Yangpyeong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Changwon City vs Yangpyeong?
Changwon City vs Yangpyeong (K3 League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.