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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Yangpyeong v Ulsan Citizen: numbers & prediction

K3 League · South-Korea
2–1
FT
Yangpyeong 35%Draw 23%Ulsan Citizen 42% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.41
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultUlsan Citizen to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53

Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Friday 9 October: Yangpyeong v Ulsan Citizen in the K3 League. In the table, Yangpyeong are 13th, in the drop zone, on 20 points after 26 matches; Ulsan Citizen are 9th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Yangpyeong, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Changwon City, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Ulsan Citizen, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Siheung Citizen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ulsan Citizen, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Yangpyeong.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Yangpyeong 1.3 xG, Ulsan Citizen 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Yangpyeong 35%, draw 23%, Ulsan Citizen 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yangpyeong 1–1 Ulsan Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Yangpyeong35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Ulsan Citizen42%fair 2.38 · @2.45
2.67Expected goals
1.26Yangpyeong xG
1.41Ulsan Citizen xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Yangpyeong 1.3 – 1.4 Ulsan Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlsan Citizen to win ✗42%2.382.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.75
Draw no betUlsan Citizen (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapYangpyeong +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreUlsan Citizen to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulsan Citizen / FT Ulsan Citizen ✗24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.53–

Recent results

Yangpyeong – last 6

LLLLDL
3 Oct@ Changwon City1–2L
13 Sepvs Pocheon0–2L
6 Sepvs Siheung Citizen1–3L
29 Aug@ Daejeon Korail1–2L
22 Augvs Gyeongju HNP3–3D
26 Julvs Busan Transportation2–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Ulsan Citizen – last 6

LWLWWL
3 Octvs Siheung Citizen1–2L
11 Sep@ Daejeon Korail1–0W
5 Sepvs Gyeongju HNP1–2L
30 Augvs Busan Transportation2–1W
23 Aug@ Jeonbuk Motors II1–0W
19 Augvs Gwangju FC0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Yangpyeong and Ulsan Citizen.

Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen head-to-head page →

K3 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen261763+1657
2Pocheon261493+2151
3Daejeon Korail261367+1645
4Busan Transportation261277+1543
5Gyeongju HNP2610106+540
6Dangjin Citizen2611510+1038
7Chuncheon2610610+536
8Gangneung City2610610-636
9Ulsan Citizen268612-330
10Yeoju Sejong267910-430
11Changwon City267910-530
12Mokpo City2651110-1626
13Yangpyeong264814-2120
14Jeonbuk Motors II261817-3311

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

On our numbers Yangpyeong have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ulsan Citizen 42%.

How many goals will there be in Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Our predicted score is Yangpyeong 1–1 Ulsan Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?

Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen (K3 League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.