Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗65% · @1.68
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✗87% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Novorizontino vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 23 March: Novorizontino v Londrina in the Serie B, played at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. In the table, Novorizontino are 1st, leading the league, on 70 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Novorizontino, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mixto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Londrina, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 2.2 xG, Londrina 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 50% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 65%, draw 22%, Londrina 13%.
Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (87%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.36, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 2–0 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novorizontino65%fair 1.54 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.55
Londrina13%fair 7.61 · @5.25
2.97Expected goals
2.18Novorizontino xG
0.80Londrina xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Novorizontino 2.2 – 0.8 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Novorizontino
Londrina
Attack vs Serie B average
+44%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-26%
+31%
Our expected goals here
2.60
0.79
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
65%
1.54
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)✗
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Novorizontino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.07
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Novorizontino ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Novorizontino – last 6
WLLWWW
13 Mar
@ Mixto
3–0
W
9 Mar
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Palmeiras
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Nacional AM
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Santos
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Londrina – last 3
LWW
18 Mar
vs Operario-PR
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Penedense
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and Londrina.
What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs Londrina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Londrina?
On our numbers Novorizontino have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Londrina 13%.
How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs Londrina?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Novorizontino 2–0 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Novorizontino vs Londrina?
Novorizontino vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
