Value bet: São Bernardo to win @ 3.15 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSão Bernardo to win ✓37% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Londrina vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Londrina welcome São Bernardo to Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias for a Serie B fixture on Tuesday 12 May (23:30 WAT). In the table, Londrina are 18th, in the drop zone, on 32 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Londrina, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
São Bernardo, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Caxias, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Londrina 1.3 xG, São Bernardo 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Londrina 36%, draw 27%, São Bernardo 37%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: São Bernardo to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (70%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Londrina 1–1 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Londrina36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.96
São Bernardo37%fair 2.71 · @3.15
2.66Expected goals
1.31Londrina xG
1.36São Bernardo xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Londrina 1.3 – 1.4 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Londrina
São Bernardo
Attack vs Serie B average
+4%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.59
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
São Bernardo to win✓
37%
2.71
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
São Bernardo (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Londrina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
São Bernardo to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT São Bernardo / FT São Bernardo✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Londrina – last 6
LLLDWL
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Novorizontino
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Operario-PR
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
DDLLWL
7 May
vs Caxias
1–1
D
30 Apr
@ Tombense
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Cianorte
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Botafogo SP
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Londrina and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Londrina vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Londrina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and São Bernardo 37%.
How many goals will there be in Londrina vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Londrina 1–1 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Londrina vs São Bernardo?
Londrina vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Vitorino Goncalves Dias.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
