Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Londrina to win @ 3.45 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLondrina to win ✓37% · @3.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Ponte Preta vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the Serie B brings Ponte Preta against Londrina at Moisés Lucarelli. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Londrina, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ponte Preta, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Londrina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 1.1 xG, Londrina 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 37%, draw 26%, Londrina 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Londrina to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 1–1 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.05
Londrina37%fair 2.69 · @3.45
2.54Expected goals
1.13Ponte Preta xG
1.41Londrina xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 1.1 – 1.4 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ponte Preta
Londrina
Attack vs Serie B average
-43%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+66%
+31%
Our expected goals here
1.02
1.76
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Londrina to win✓
37%
2.69
3.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Londrina (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Ponte Preta +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
1.05
First team to score
Londrina to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Londrina / FT Londrina✓
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
WWDLWL
25 Apr
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Avai
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Ceara
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Guarany de Bagé
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Londrina – last 6
LLLLDW
12 May
vs São Bernardo
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ Juventude
0–1
L
13 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Sport Recife
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Goias
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Novorizontino
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Londrina.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Londrina 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Londrina?
Ponte Preta vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
