Botafogo SP 54%Draw 27%Athletic Club 19%Expected goals 1.49 – 0.82
81%
Betarazi pick
Botafogo SP or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗54% · @1.95
Double chanceBotafogo SP or draw ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Monday 25 May: Botafogo SP v Athletic Club in the Serie B, played at Estádio Santa Cruz. In the table, Botafogo SP are 12th, lower half, on 51 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Botafogo SP, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Novorizontino, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Athletic Club, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Juventude, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Botafogo SP, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo SP 1.5 xG, Athletic Club 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo SP 54%, draw 27%, Athletic Club 19%.
Lower-risk option: Botafogo SP or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Botafogo SP or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo SP 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo SP54%fair 1.85 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.15
Athletic Club19%fair 5.27 · @4.20
2.32Expected goals
1.49Botafogo SP xG
0.82Athletic Club xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Botafogo SP 1.5 – 0.8 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Attack vs Serie B average
+4%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.94
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✗
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Botafogo SP or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Botafogo SP (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Botafogo SP to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Botafogo SP – last 6
LDLLWW
10 May
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Fortaleza EC
4–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
DLDLLL
17 May
vs Juventude
1–1
D
12 May
@ Internacional
2–3
L
4 May
@ Vila Nova
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Internacional
1–2
L
20 Apr
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo SP and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Botafogo SP or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Botafogo SP have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 19%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Botafogo SP 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Santa Cruz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
