Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNautico Recife to win ✓46% · @1.93
Double chanceNautico Recife or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.79
Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nautico Recife welcome Cuiaba to Aflitos for a Serie B fixture on Friday 22 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, Nautico Recife are 15th, lower half, on 46 points after 37 matches; Cuiaba are 13th (lower half) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nautico Recife, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Athletic Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cuiaba, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Novorizontino, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nautico Recife, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Cuiaba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nautico Recife 1.1 xG, Cuiaba 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nautico Recife 46%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 25%.
Lower-risk option: Nautico Recife or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nautico Recife or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nautico Recife46%fair 2.19 · @1.93
Draw29%fair 3.40 · @3.00
Cuiaba25%fair 4.00 · @4.50
1.96Expected goals
1.08Nautico Recife xG
0.87Cuiaba xG
53%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nautico Recife 1.1 – 0.9 Cuiaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
Attack vs Serie B average
-22%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+17%
-14%
Our expected goals here
0.93
0.99
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nautico Recife to win✓
46%
2.19
1.93
Double chance
Nautico Recife or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Nautico Recife (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Cuiaba +1 (Asian handicap)
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Nautico Recife to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nautico Recife / FT Nautico Recife✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.79
–
Recent results
Nautico Recife – last 4
WLWW
27 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Ceara
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Cuiaba – last 6
DLDLLD
17 May
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Anápolis
0–4
L
23 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Porto Vitória
2–3
L
8 Apr
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Fortaleza EC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nautico Recife and Cuiaba.
What is the prediction for Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
Our pick is Nautico Recife or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
On our numbers Nautico Recife have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cuiaba 25%.
How many goals will there be in Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
Our predicted score is Nautico Recife 1–0 Cuiaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba?
Nautico Recife vs Cuiaba (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Aflitos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
