Value bet: Botafogo SP to win @ 2.76 – our chance 45% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo SP to win ✗45% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botafogo SP travel to face Ponte Preta on Monday 1 June in the Serie B, with Moisés Lucarelli the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to CRB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Botafogo SP, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athletic Club, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ponte Preta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Botafogo SP.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.9 xG, Botafogo SP 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 28%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 45%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Botafogo SP to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta28%fair 3.53 · @2.74
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.90
Botafogo SP45%fair 2.23 · @2.76
2.43Expected goals
0.90Ponte Preta xG
1.53Botafogo SP xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.9 – 1.5 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average
-43%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+66%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.68
1.76
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo SP to win✗
45%
2.23
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.90
1.91
Draw no bet
Botafogo SP (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Ponte Preta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Botafogo SP to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo SP / FT Botafogo SP✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLWWDL
24 May
@ CRB
2–4
L
18 May
vs Londrina
1–4
L
25 Apr
vs America Mineiro
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Avai
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Ceara
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
LLDLLW
25 May
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
10 May
@ Novorizontino
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ Cuiaba
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 45%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP?
Ponte Preta vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Moisés Lucarelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
