Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✗53% · @1.94
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Criciuma vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 16 June: Criciuma v Ceara in the Serie B. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Londrina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ceara, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avai, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.4 xG, Ceara 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 53%, draw 28%, Ceara 20%.
Lower-risk option: Criciuma or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma53%fair 1.90 · @1.94
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.15
Ceara20%fair 5.11 · @4.20
2.11Expected goals
1.37Criciuma xG
0.74Ceara xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.4 – 0.7 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Criciuma
Ceara
Attack vs Serie B average
-18%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.23
0.69
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✗
53%
1.90
1.94
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Ceara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Criciuma – last 6
WWDDDL
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Fortaleza EC
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
WLWLWL
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
7 May
@ Vitoria
0–1
L
30 Apr
@ Maranhão
3–1
W
23 Apr
@ Atletico-MG
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Criciuma vs Ceara?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ceara 20%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs Ceara?
Criciuma vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
