America Mineiro 31%Draw 31%Criciuma 38%Expected goals 0.94 – 1.07
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✓38% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓69% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.88
America Mineiro vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Criciuma travel to face America Mineiro on Wednesday 24 June in the Serie B, with Arena Independência the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
America Mineiro, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Fortaleza EC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Criciuma, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ceara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for America Mineiro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 0.9 xG, Criciuma 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 31%, draw 31%, Criciuma 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America Mineiro31%fair 3.21 · @2.95
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @3.00
Criciuma38%fair 2.64 · @2.52
2.01Expected goals
0.94America Mineiro xG
1.07Criciuma xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 0.9 – 1.1 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Attack vs Serie B average
-28%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.77
0.86
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
38%
2.64
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.88
–
Recent results
America Mineiro – last 6
WLLLWL
17 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
3–0
W
9 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–2
L
30 May
@ Juventude
0–3
L
24 May
vs Vila Nova
1–2
L
7 May
vs Cianorte
3–2
W
4 May
vs CRB
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
DWWDDD
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
10 May
@ Juventude
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Criciuma.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Criciuma 38%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 0–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Criciuma?
America Mineiro vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 24 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
