Value bet: Atletico Goianiense to win @ 3.65 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗43% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sport Recife welcome Atletico Goianiense to Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho for a Serie B fixture on Friday 19 June (01:00 WAT). In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Atletico Goianiense are 8th (upper half) with 58. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São Bernardo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with CRB, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sport Recife, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Atletico Goianiense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.3 xG, Atletico Goianiense 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 43%, draw 27%, Atletico Goianiense 30%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Atletico Goianiense to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife43%fair 2.31 · @2.06
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
Atletico Goianiense30%fair 3.35 · @3.65
2.35Expected goals
1.29Sport Recife xG
1.06Atletico Goianiense xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.3 – 1.1 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Attack vs Serie B average
+15%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.29
1.14
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
43%
2.31
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Goianiense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Sport Recife – last 6
DDWLWW
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
31 May
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
28 May
vs Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
24 May
@ Juventude
1–0
W
21 May
@ Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DWDLDL
12 Jun
vs CRB
3–3
D
9 Jun
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
30 May
vs Goias
1–1
D
24 May
vs São Bernardo
0–1
L
17 May
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Gama
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Goianiense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense?
Sport Recife vs Atletico Goianiense (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 19 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
