Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✓54% · @1.60
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓80% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.57
Criciuma vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 27 June the Serie B brings Criciuma against São Bernardo. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Criciuma are 4th, among the top four, on 62 points after 37 matches; São Bernardo are 11th (lower half) with 52.
Current form
Criciuma, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over America Mineiro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
São Bernardo, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juventude, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Criciuma 1.3 xG, São Bernardo 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Criciuma 54%, draw 26%, São Bernardo 20%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Criciuma54%fair 1.85 · @1.60
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.55
São Bernardo20%fair 5.11 · @6.00
2.18Expected goals
1.34Criciuma xG
0.83São Bernardo xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Criciuma 1.3 – 0.8 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Attack vs Serie B average
-18%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.16
0.94
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
54%
1.85
1.60
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.62
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
São Bernardo +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.57
–
Recent results
Criciuma – last 6
WDWWDD
24 Jun
@ America Mineiro
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
25 May
@ Operario-PR
1–1
D
17 May
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
São Bernardo – last 6
LDWDWW
21 Jun
vs Juventude
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Sport Recife
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ CRB
3–2
W
31 May
vs Novorizontino
1–1
D
24 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–0
W
12 May
@ Londrina
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Criciuma and São Bernardo.
What is the prediction for Criciuma vs São Bernardo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Criciuma vs São Bernardo?
On our numbers Criciuma have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and São Bernardo 20%.
How many goals will there be in Criciuma vs São Bernardo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Criciuma vs São Bernardo?
Our predicted score is Criciuma 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Criciuma vs São Bernardo?
Criciuma vs São Bernardo (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
