Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGoias to win ✓45% · @2.16
Double chanceGoias or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
Goias vs Ceara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 July the Serie B brings Goias against Ceara. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Goias are 7th, upper half, on 58 points after 37 matches; Ceara are 16th (lower half) with 43. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Goias, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nautico Recife, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ceara, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventude, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goias 1.3 xG, Ceara 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goias 45%, draw 28%, Ceara 27%.
Lower-risk option: Goias or draw (73%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goias 1–0 Ceara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goias45%fair 2.21 · @2.16
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.00
Ceara27%fair 3.77 · @3.65
2.22Expected goals
1.34Goias xG
0.88Ceara xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–110%
2–19%
From our goals model: Goias 1.3 – 0.9 Ceara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Goias
Ceara
Attack vs Serie B average
-10%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.78
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goias to win✓
45%
2.21
2.16
Double chance
Goias or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Goias (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Ceara +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Goias to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goias / FT Goias✓
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Recent results
Goias – last 6
WLDLDW
28 Jun
@ Nautico Recife
1–0
W
21 Jun
vs Operario-PR
0–3
L
14 Jun
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–4
L
30 May
@ Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
24 May
@ Avai
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ceara – last 6
LLDWLW
28 Jun
@ Juventude
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
17 May
vs Fortaleza EC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goias and Ceara.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Goias vs Ceara?
On our numbers Goias have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ceara 27%.
How many goals will there be in Goias vs Ceara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goias vs Ceara?
Our predicted score is Goias 1–0 Ceara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Goias vs Ceara?
Goias vs Ceara (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
