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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America Mineiro v Londrina: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Brazil · Arena Independência
1–1
FT
America Mineiro 49%Draw 27%Londrina 24% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✗49% · @1.92
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96

America Mineiro vs Londrina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 13 July the Serie B brings America Mineiro against Londrina at Arena Independência. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, America Mineiro are 19th, in the drop zone, on 29 points after 37 matches; Londrina are 18th (in the drop zone) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

America Mineiro, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cuiaba, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Londrina, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over CRB, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Londrina, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for America Mineiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.5 xG, Londrina 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 49%, draw 27%, Londrina 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: America Mineiro or draw (76%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–1 Londrina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America Mineiro49%fair 2.03 · @1.92
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.35
Londrina24%fair 4.22 · @3.95
2.53Expected goals
1.47America Mineiro xG
1.06Londrina xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.5 – 1.1 Londrina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

America MineiroLondrina
Attack vs Serie B average-28%+4%
Goals conceded vs average+4%+31%
Our expected goals here1.301.10

Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica Mineiro to win ✗49%2.031.92
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.77
Draw no betAmerica Mineiro (draw no bet)67%1.48–
Asian handicapLondrina +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreAmerica Mineiro to score first ✓54%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.96–

Recent results

America Mineiro – last 6

LLLWLL
3 Jul@ Cuiaba0–1L
27 Jun@ Operario-PR0–1L
24 Junvs Criciuma0–1L
17 Jun@ Fortaleza EC3–0W
9 Junvs Atletico Goianiense1–2L
30 May@ Juventude0–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Londrina – last 6

WDWWLL
4 Julvs CRB5–0W
26 Jun@ Cuiaba2–2D
20 Junvs Athletic Club2–0W
16 Junvs Avai3–2W
6 Jun@ Criciuma0–1L
31 Mayvs Vila Nova0–1L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Londrina.

America Mineiro vs Londrina head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino3720107+3470
2Juventude3719117+2368
3Vila Nova371999+1566
4Criciuma3718811+762
5Fortaleza EC3716147+1162
6CRB3717713+658
7Goias3717713-258
8Atletico Goianiense3715139+1058
9Sport Recife37141310+855
10Operario-PR3715913-154
11São Bernardo37141013+1052
12Botafogo SP3714914+651
13Cuiaba37111412+247
14Athletic Club37111412047
15Nautico Recife37121015-946
16Ceara37111016-943
17Avai3711719-1240
18Londrina378821-1332
19America Mineiro378524-2829
20Ponte Preta373628-5815

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Londrina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Londrina?

On our numbers America Mineiro have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Londrina 24%.

How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Londrina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Londrina?

Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Londrina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is America Mineiro vs Londrina?

America Mineiro vs Londrina (Serie B) kicks off on Monday 13 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Independência.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.