Ceara 48%Draw 26%Athletic Club 25%Expected goals 1.33 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCeara to win ✗48% · @1.90
Double chanceCeara or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Ceara vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Tuesday 14 July: Ceara v Athletic Club in the Serie B, played at Estádio Presidente Vargas. In the table, Ceara are 16th, lower half, on 43 points after 37 matches; Athletic Club are 14th (lower half) with 47.
Current form
Ceara, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Goias, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Athletic Club, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Operario-PR, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Ceara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ceara 1.3 xG, Athletic Club 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ceara 48%, draw 26%, Athletic Club 25%.
Lower-risk option: Ceara or draw (75%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ceara 1–0 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ceara48%fair 2.07 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.25
Athletic Club25%fair 3.95 · @4.30
2.33Expected goals
1.33Ceara xG
1.00Athletic Club xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Ceara 1.3 – 1.0 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ceara
Athletic Club
Attack vs Serie B average
-12%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.18
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ceara to win✗
48%
2.07
1.90
Double chance
Ceara or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Ceara (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Ceara to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ceara / FT Ceara✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.60
–
Recent results
Ceara – last 6
LLLDWL
5 Jul
@ Goias
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Juventude
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–1
L
16 Jun
@ Criciuma
1–1
D
11 Jun
vs Avai
2–1
W
31 May
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
LWLDDW
8 Jul
vs Operario-PR
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Avai
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Londrina
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Goias
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
30 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ceara and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Ceara vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ceara vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Ceara have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Athletic Club 25%.
How many goals will there be in Ceara vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ceara vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Ceara 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Ceara vs Athletic Club?
Ceara vs Athletic Club (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 14 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Presidente Vargas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
