Juventude 55%Draw 27%Vila Nova 18%Expected goals 1.45 – 0.77
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventude to win ✓55% · @1.84
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Juventude vs Vila Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude welcome Vila Nova to Estadio Alfredo Jaconi for a Serie B fixture on Friday 10 July (23:00 WAT). In the table, Juventude are 2nd, among the top four, on 68 points after 37 matches; Vila Nova are 3rd (among the top four) with 66. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventude, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nautico Recife, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Vila Nova, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.4 xG, Vila Nova 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 55%, draw 27%, Vila Nova 18%.
Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–1 Vila Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventude55%fair 1.81 · @1.84
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.25
Vila Nova18%fair 5.47 · @4.60
2.21Expected goals
1.45Juventude xG
0.77Vila Nova xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.4 – 0.8 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventude
Vila Nova
Attack vs Serie B average
+23%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.85
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✓
55%
1.81
1.84
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Juventude (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Vila Nova +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Juventude to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Juventude – last 6
DWWWLW
6 Jul
@ Nautico Recife
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Ceara
2–0
W
21 Jun
@ São Bernardo
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Ponte Preta
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Operario-PR
1–2
L
30 May
vs America Mineiro
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vila Nova – last 6
WLWLWW
6 Jul
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
26 Jun
@ Novorizontino
1–2
L
20 Jun
vs Nautico Recife
4–3
W
14 Jun
@ Cuiaba
0–1
L
9 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
1–0
W
31 May
@ Londrina
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Vila Nova.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Juventude vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Juventude have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Vila Nova 18%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Juventude vs Vila Nova (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
