Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultCriciuma to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceCriciuma or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ponte Preta welcome Criciuma for a Serie B fixture on Thursday 9 July (00:00 WAT). In the table, Ponte Preta are 20th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 37 matches; Criciuma are 4th (among the top four) with 62. There are 47 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ponte Preta, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fortaleza EC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Criciuma, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sport Recife, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Criciuma, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.2 for Ponte Preta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte Preta 0.6 xG, Criciuma 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte Preta 14%, draw 26%, Criciuma 60%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte Preta 0–1 Criciuma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte Preta14%fair 7.07 · @5.90
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.55
Criciuma60%fair 1.67 · @1.62
2.17Expected goals
0.63Ponte Preta xG
1.54Criciuma xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Ponte Preta 0.6 – 1.5 Criciuma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Attack vs Serie B average
-43%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+66%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.60
1.38
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Criciuma to win✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Double chance
Criciuma or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Draw no bet
Criciuma (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Ponte Preta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Criciuma to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Criciuma / FT Criciuma✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.68
–
Recent results
Ponte Preta – last 6
LLLLLD
3 Jul
@ Fortaleza EC
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
23 Jun
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Juventude
0–3
L
9 Jun
vs Cuiaba
1–2
L
1 Jun
vs Botafogo SP
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Criciuma – last 6
WWWDWW
4 Jul
vs Sport Recife
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ America Mineiro
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Ceara
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Londrina
1–0
W
30 May
@ Avai
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte Preta and Criciuma.
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
On our numbers Ponte Preta have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Criciuma 60%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
Our predicted score is Ponte Preta 0–1 Criciuma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ponte Preta vs Criciuma?
Ponte Preta vs Criciuma (Serie B) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
