Sport Recife 51%Draw 27%Botafogo SP 22%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.92
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultSport Recife to win ✗51% · @1.84
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 July the Serie B brings Sport Recife against Botafogo SP at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Sport Recife are 9th, upper half, on 55 points after 37 matches; Botafogo SP are 12th (lower half) with 51.
Current form
Sport Recife, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Criciuma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Botafogo SP, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Avai, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Botafogo SP, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sport Recife.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.4 xG, Botafogo SP 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 51%, draw 27%, Botafogo SP 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sport Recife or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife51%fair 1.95 · @1.84
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.35
Botafogo SP22%fair 4.60 · @4.40
2.30Expected goals
1.38Sport Recife xG
0.92Botafogo SP xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.4 – 0.9 Botafogo SP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Attack vs Serie B average
+15%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.12
Our own ratings from every Serie B result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
51%
1.95
1.84
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Botafogo SP +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Sport Recife – last 6
LLDDDW
4 Jul
@ Criciuma
0–1
L
28 Jun
@ Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
19 Jun
vs Atletico Goianiense
1–1
D
14 Jun
@ São Bernardo
0–0
D
11 Jun
vs Athletic Club
1–1
D
31 May
vs Nautico Recife
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Botafogo SP – last 6
WLWWLD
6 Jul
vs Avai
3–1
W
1 Jul
vs CRB
0–1
L
20 Jun
@ Ceara
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Operario-PR
2–1
W
9 Jun
@ Vila Nova
0–1
L
1 Jun
@ Ponte Preta
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Botafogo SP.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botafogo SP 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Botafogo SP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
